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Future Meetings

Risk analysis: lessons from a spectrum of risk projects, and recommendations about the treatment of uncertainties

Venue: Strathclyde University CW506b
Speaker: Professor Elisabeth Paté-Cornell
Date: Thursday, 30 June 2016 at 17:00 - 18:00

In this talk, I will describe my career in risk analysis and its evolution, starting with a study of the thermal protection system of the space shuttle, of the reliability of offshore oil platforms, and anesthesia patient risks. An essential element of these studies has been the explicit inclusion of human and management factors in technical risk assessments.  I will then present some observations that I have made  regarding the treatment of uncertainties by risk managers and some analysts, whether in their processing of intelligence information or in their reasoning regarding the value of signals. I will conclude with the recommendations that I have found useful to make.